NATO Allies Reluctant to Engage in War with Iran, Global Conflict Should be Avoided
NATO allies have expressed no interest in engaging in the conflict with Iran, which US President Donald Trump has embroiled the United States in, according to foreign policy analyst Boško Jakšić, who believes that a broader global conflict can be ruled out.
Jakšić shared this perspective with the MINA agency, responding to inquiries about the possibility of a larger global conflict given recent American airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
“A wider global conflict appears unlikely. None of the numerous Middle Eastern wars have escalated to a global scale,” Jakšić remarked.
He characterized the situation as a “private war” between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Ayatollah, suggesting that Trump has been lured into this conflict.
“However, NATO allies demonstrate no intention to participate, nor is there any reason for them to do so. They are reminded of the experiences gained from Afghanistan,” Jakšić noted.
When asked about today’s US strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, Jakšić pointed out that Trump has long maintained a stance against American military interventions worldwide, and by attacking Iran, he has showcased a contradiction in that position.
“At the same time, this incident highlights his tendency to make critical foreign policy decisions impulsively, without adequate consideration of their long-term impacts,” Jakšić added.
He observed that Trump has been advocating for negotiations with Tehran regarding Iran’s nuclear ambitions for weeks, while simultaneously issuing threats.
“He remarked that the success of talks in Oman was ‘within reach’, which could potentially secure peace between Iran and Israel, and then indicated he would reach a final decision in two weeks. Just two days later, he opted to involve the US in a conflict with unknown consequences,” Jakšić emphasized.
He expressed uncertainty regarding the extent of the damage inflicted on Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities.
According to Jakšić, Netanyahu is likely pleased that he has entangled an American president in military action for the first time in two decades.
“Trump is on a path to repeating the disastrous mistake made by George W. Bush when he ordered the invasion of Iraq in 2003,” Jakšić asserted.
When queried about potential Iranian responses to the US strikes, he recalled that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has made it clear that he will not agree to the US demand to cease uranium enrichment, which Iran claims is for peaceful purposes. Khamenei rejected Trump’s call for “unconditional surrender.”
Jakšić underscored that negotiations will not resume as long as Israeli aggression persists.
“The Islamic Republic will persist in launching missiles at Israel and trying to thwart Netanyahu’s regime change aspirations in Tehran,” Jakšić declared.
He reminded listeners that Iran’s supreme leader has warned the Americans of impending “irreparable damage,” cautioning that the nature of that damage is uncertain.
“Could it involve a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that would disrupt the global oil market? Or possible attacks on US military bases in the region housing 40 American troops, as hinted by the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps? Attacks on US diplomatic missions?” Jakšić speculated.
He mentioned that Iran is relying on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Shiite militias in Iraq, and the Houthis in Yemen for support.
Addressing the question of how new significant conflicts might impact the Western Balkans, Jakšić suggested that, aside from the economic ramifications due to potential spikes in oil prices on global markets, the Western Balkans can presumably continue focusing on their own challenges, such as Kosovo or Republika Srpska.
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